Population Size Estimation Tool for Programs Serving Orphans and Vulnerable Children

Intended user: Managers of PEPFAR OVC programs in Botswana, Nigeria, South Africa, and South Sudan

What: A workbook calculator to help in estimating the population size of children ages 017 years living in a household with at least one adult who is HIV-positive or orphans and children ages 017 years living in such a household. The calculator is for use in countries that do not have a recent AIDS indicator survey or DHS survey with biomarker/HIV testing.

Investment: Time to complete a form and availability of the number of children ages 017 years in the country and an estimate of HIV prevalence among people ages 15 years and older

Tool output: The tool provides only national-level estimates, based on adult HIV prevalence. It estimates the proportion of all children and the number of children in each group, with lower and upper range estimates with a 99 percent confidence level.

Access the relatedTool for Using Demographic and Health Survey Data to Estimate the Size of Orphans-and- Vulnerable-Children Groups at the National and Subnational Levelsresource.